2023 Wurth 400 at Dover

The weather forecast may look bleak for this weekend, but that won’t stop me from sharing the daily fantasy NASCAR DraftKings forecast for Dover Motor Speedway.

Read on for DFS/DraftKings analysis and top NASCAR Cup Series picks for the Wurth 400, airing Sunday, April 30, at 1 p.m. ET on FOX Sports 1.

Even though we’re at the end of the month, it seems like April showers are still hanging around. Rain is expected for much of this weekend at the Delaware racetrack, though Saturday looks better than Sunday.

Add the fact that this is the first high-banked short track the series will visit this year, and you’ll see that we’re in a sticky situation. How do you prepare for the Monster Mile with so many unknowns?

Well, you do the best you can. One of the first things you can look at is short-track stats in recent races (2022-present). While not all short tracks are comparable to Dover, some drivers perform well on this track type.

Also, if the rain holds off on Saturday, you can examine the practice and qualifying results (10:30 a.m. ET on FS2, switches to FS1 at 11).

But if it rains on Sunday, teams won’t have the wet weather tires that were used at Martinsville Speedway in the NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series. It could end up being a race to halfway, which would greatly lessen the amount of laps a driver leads.

Track position will be key, as whoever starts up front will likely have clean air and stay in front. So, choose drivers who start in the top 10 (though drivers with good cars starting further back could provide position differential points on DraftKings as well).

Before I share some drivers on my initial DraftKings list, let’s look back at the fiasco that was Talladega Superspeedway:

These scores were based on where they finished in the race and are not necessarily what they scored on DraftKings (as DraftKings paid out the contests before NASCAR’s final results).

But regardless, ouch! Bubba Wallace was in the lead on the last lap until he made a late block and crashed. Michael McDowell had some trouble on lap 3, while Austin Dillon finished last. Sometimes you’re the bug, sometimes you’re the windshield.

Here’s a closer look at the DraftKings scoring rules …

The winner on the racetrack…