Motorcycle Racing

How Jorge Martin can win the 2024 MotoGP title in the Malaysian GP

How Jorge Martin can win the 2024 MotoGP title in the Malaysian GP

Jorge Martin can seal the 2024 MotoGP title in the Malaysian Grand Prix after his nearest rival Francesco Bagnaia crashed out of Saturday’s sprint race at the Sepang International Circuit.

In what many see as the decisive moment in their championship scrap, Bagnaia lost the front end of his factory Ducati at the tricky uphill Turn 9 on lap 3 of 10, while running in second place behind Martin.

This has given the Pramac rider a massive 29-point lead in the championship standings, with just two grands prix and a sprint race left to run.

The 26-year-old, who is chasing a maiden crown, will have his first match point in Sunday’s full-distance race as he aims to avenge for his title defeat to Bagnaia in 2023.

An early coronation could be crucial for the Spaniard, as the venue and date for the season finale is yet to be announced.

Valencia was due to host the final round on 15-17 November, but heavy flooding in the region forced MotoGP to cancel the race just two weeks ahead of its scheduled date. A replacement round could take place in Jerez, Barcelona, Portimao or Qatar.

How Martin can wrap up the title in Malaysian GP

Martin Bagnaia
If Martin wins Bagnaia must finish third or lower
If Martin finishes second Bagnaia must finish fifth or lower
If Martin finishes third Bagnaia must finish ninth or lower
If Martin finishes fourth Bagnaia must finish 12th or lower
If Martin finishes fifth Bagnaia must finish 14th or lower
If Martin finishes sixth Bagnaia must finish 15th or lower
If Martin finishes seventh Bagnaia must not score points
If Martin finishes eight or lower The title will not be decided in Malaysia

To put it into simple words, Martin needs to extend his lead by at least nine points in order to be crowned the 2024 champion in Malaysia.

That means he must finish at least seventh in order to put the title out of Bagnaia’s reach.

Given the speed both Martin and Bagnaia have shown so far this weekend, it is likely that the two will finish on the podium.

If Martin wins the race, his title rival must finish third or lower for the championship to be decided early. If Bagnaia is able to follow Martin home in second place, that will mean the title fight will continue into the finale – albeit with a mammoth 34-point gap between the two.

A second-place finish for Martin would be enough if Bagnaia fails to finish higher than fifth. The championship fight will carry over to the final round if Bagnaia wins…

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