Why McLaren won’t gamble with F1 Imola GP strategy in Verstappen fight

The Woking-based team has emerged as Red Bull’s closest challenger at Imola, with its pace suggesting that it had the potential to grab pole position.

Despite its speed, its chances against Verstappen for the win have been weakened by Piastri’s three-place grid penalty that moves him down to fifth spot, but McLaren still clearly feels it is in the hunt for a shot at victory.

While an anticipated straightforward medium-hard one-stop strategy at a track that is hard to overtake on gives it few options to outgun Verstappen in a straight head-to-head fight, that is not to say there are no strategic options that could get it in front.

This could include risking starting on the soft to get the jump into Turn 1, or going early for an undercut at the first stops to leapfrog ahead. It could even leave its tyre change as late as possible in the hope of getting on much fresher tyres for the dash to the chequered flag. Safety Cars could also throw up other opportunities.

McLaren team principal Andrea Stella is clear, however, that anything it does in its bid for glory will not be a matter of taking a gamble.

Asked by Autosport about the mindset for the race, Stella said: “We hope, and we would like never to find ourselves in a condition where we’ll roll the dice. We try to use some logical consideration and strategic consideration to see what’s the best approach to maximise the result.

“We have to say that the run to [Turn 1] here is one of the longest of the season. So the position on the grid will not necessarily be the position, let’s say, at the end of lap one.

“We will see. In general, there’s some strategic options because the hard tyres can go relatively long.

“So, you can stop early, and go for a long run and try to work with the undercut. Or you may stop later, and then you might have to overtake some people, but with fresher tyres.

“There’s a few options. We will see. But the most important thing is to have the pace to be in condition to deploy these options.”

Pirelli’s head of F1 Mario Isola reckons that the temperature could be critical to how the race plays out – with the cooler it gets, the less powerful the undercut.

“If it is warm then I don’t see any issue with warm-up of the hard, and the undercut could be powerful,” he said. “If the temperatures are much cooler, then obviously the hard would struggle a little bit with the warm-up.”

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